The Looming Commercial Real Estate Crisis
♫ Wednesday, December 29th, 2010
Last year, I did a blog entry asking whether the faltering United States commercial real estate market was going to create a new mortgage crisis, resulting in a double dip recession.
Now we have reports that the Congressional Oversight Panel is warning that a wave of defaults on commercial real estate loans next year could see US banks losing $300 million. According to the report, about $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans will reach the end of their term between 2010 and 2014. It says commercial property values have fallen more than 40% since the start of 2007 and more than half the borrowers are “under water”, meaning they owe more on the property than what it’s worth with the collapse in prices. This will affect more than 3000 small and mid-sized banks.
